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for obama but a six more point democrats sampled than republicans. cnn had a tie and an 11-point more democrat. it was a 7-point more democrat than republican in 2008, cnn had it at 11 points and had it at a tie. we have too many polls, the precision they don't have, i'm a numbers guy. i like to see the votes. we know that president obama's margin has declined. if you take a look at the states, the battleground states where there's partisan registration, so you can actually track who is it who is voting early or applying for an absentee ballot. the democrats had a 11-point margin four juror four years ago, it's 5.5 today. 340,000 democrats voted early than republicans four years ago. they this year about 105 more democrats have turned out than republicans, which points to a very, very, very tight night. jon: as you well know these elections are won in the middle, democrats largely vote for their candidates, republicans largely vote for their candidate, and it's the independent voter that you have to convince t swing over to your side. where do you see the independent voter go. >> that
: alan there is a poll out this morning i want to get your reaction. cnn released a poll. higher is the question, do you think israel was justified or unjustified in taking military action against hamas and the palestinians in the area known as gaza. 57% of the public say yes and they don't even mention the fact that hamas is a terrorist organization. >> i think people know that. people aren't dumb. people know it's a terrorist organization except for its political ring. israel ramped this up when they killed the head of their military organization a couple of weeks ago. the american media tends to be pro israel. i don't know where jim comes down on that. generally the american media, israel is an ally and we view israel favorably tends to be very pro israel and we often don't get the palestinian perspective in the american media about what is going on. jon: we'll have to leave the discussion there for today. it's a story we'll continue to watch in the days and weeks ahead. let's hope they can get something figured out and end the bloodshed soon. thank you both. jenna: black frid
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